Possible DPRK’s missile to fall within the US territory?

This topic has been un-sticky by wow at 31-10-2013 17:11.

Possible DPRK’s missile to fall within the US territory?

By Li Hongmei, Special to Sina English

Despite that the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) warned more often than not that it will conduct its third nuclear test in defiance of UN punishment, and made clear that its long-range rockets are designed to carry not only satellites but also warheads aimed at striking the US, observers would be more inclined to believe it is still "a bark" and far from "a real bite."

“A missile expected to deliver a warhead to the US territory is to enter space and then return to the dense atmosphere and aim at a certain target on the Earth’s surface. A serious problem of thermal protection arises in this case. North Korea (i.e, the DPRK) does not know how to solve this problem yet, which means that their rocket does not threaten anyone. In the next few years the chance of a North Korean missile going to the US territory is nil,” remarked Evgeny Kim from the Korean Centre of the Institute of Oriental Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences.

As for Pyongyang’s indistinct threats to retaliate to UN sanctions, experts do not believe that the unilateral beginning of hostilities is in all senses a good deal to the DPRK .

The DPRK’s leadership is, like politicians elsewhere, pragmatic, they understand that a balance of forces is not in their favor and unleashing a war would be suicidal. All their efforts are aimed at survival and self-protection. This is why they need what they call nuclear deterrents protecting them from potential aggression and attempts at changing their political skyline by force.

The National Defence Commission, headed by the country’s young leader, Kim Jong Un, pledged to keep launching satellites and rockets and to conduct a nuclear test as part of a “new phase” of combat with the U.S., which it blames for leading the UN bid to punish Pyongyang. It said a nuclear test was part of “upcoming” action but did not say exactly when or where it would take place.

“We do not hide that a variety of satellites and long-range rockets which will be launched by the DPRK one after another and a nuclear test of higher level which will be carried out by it in the upcoming all-out action, a new phase of the anti-US struggle that has lasted century after century, will target against the US, the sworn enemy of the Korean people,” the commission said, as a response to the new international sanctions and the U.S.-declared unilateral sanctions.

On Jan.22, the UN Security Council condemned the launch of the rocket which is presumably capable of carrying a warhead in the future. At the same time the UN stiffened penalties against the DPRK.

In turn, Pyongyang called the U.S. its sworn enemy and announced its intention to withdraw from talks on the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and to consolidate its military power.

Pyongyang’s tit-for-tat policy is certain to take the country to the next drawn-out nuclear blackmail of the international community. But, punishment would not have a substantial effect on the main adherents of Juche Ideas.

Perhaps, the hostile atmosphere between the Washington-Seoul alliance and the DPRK and the stalemate between the international community and Pyongyang would be there, and at times , on the simmer, for quite a long time ahead.  

But, Pyongyang’s bellicose propaganda of “settling accounts with the US needs to be done with force, not with words” might well stay within the rhetoric sphere, and would go no further and spiral to a real bite for the time being.